Modelling the Business-As-Usual Energy Scenario for the Albanian Household Sector

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  •   Altin Maraj

Abstract

This paper shows the results obtained from the development of the Business-as-Usual Scenario for the household sector in Albania. Actually, this sector is the biggest consumer of electricity with 48% of the total provided in the last year. The modelling of the energy system is achieved through the utilization of the Low Emissions Analysis Platform. The performed analysis refers to a long-term period and is extended till 2050. Firstly, the tool is employed to forecast annual data for the population, economy, precipitation and average temperature. Secondly, the tool provided results related to the energy demand, GHG emissions and the fuel share referring to the household sector. The obtained results obtained from the simulation offer a clear view regarding the household sector in Albania in the future. For the year 2050, results that the energy demand in the household sector will rise to 1.449 MTOE/year and the electricity will provide 45.42 % of it. Also, the GHG emissions in the same year will be 3.348 Mt CO2,eq/year. It is noticed that biomass contribution in GHG emissions will be 76.9%.


Keywords: Energy Scenario, Business-As-Usual, Household Branch, Required Energy, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Fuel Share

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How to Cite
[1]
Maraj, A. 2020. Modelling the Business-As-Usual Energy Scenario for the Albanian Household Sector. European Journal of Engineering and Technology Research. 5, 8 (Aug. 2020), 864-869. DOI:https://doi.org/10.24018/ejers.2020.5.8.2014.